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Red114
833818.2
918024.7
425340.7
Blue64
887121.4
639027.4
833923.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8777406010012011464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.70.6
39.640.3
Auto15.1
Teleop18.7
End7.0
red by 13.3
6390
#13
27.40.3
27.727.4
Auto8.6
Teleop11.4
End7.4
Second
24.70.6
23.624.2
Auto5.7
Teleop10.8
End8.2
red by 1.4
8339
#19
23.30.3
23.723.3
Auto9.7
Teleop10.1
End3.5
Third
8338
#27
18.20.7
17.017.8
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End6.6
blue by 3.2
21.40.3
21.721.4
Auto6.0
Teleop8.4
End7.1