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Red49
919923.2
904611.3
580024.6
Blue43
916515.9
916818.6
904913.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5355204060801004943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5800
#13
24.60.3
18.518.2
Auto8.6
Teleop8.9
End7.1
red by 6.0
9168
#20
18.69.2
25.115.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End5.9
Second
9199
#10
23.26.8
23.216.4
Auto6.2
Teleop9.5
End7.4
red by 7.3
9165
#19
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto0.3
Teleop11.1
End4.5
Third
9046
#37
11.35.1
11.316.4
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End6.0
blue by 2.2
9049
#32
13.52.4
13.515.9
Auto3.5
Teleop4.6
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
38%Activation oddsMissed36%Activation oddsMissed