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Red44
690216.8
920028.0
930216.6
Blue52
906614.8
904725.2
806613.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5255204060801004452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.012.0
28.016.0
Auto11.1
Teleop9.8
End7.1
red by 2.8
25.29.4
25.215.8
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End5.9
Second
6902
#27
16.80.7
17.216.5
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End6.1
red by 2.0
9066
#33
14.81.0
14.815.8
Auto4.6
Teleop5.5
End4.7
Third
9302
#30
16.60.6
16.616.0
Auto3.9
Teleop7.6
End5.1
red by 3.5
8066
#40
13.12.4
18.215.8
Auto0.7
Teleop6.7
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
37%Activation oddsMissed36%Activation oddsMissed