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Red80
904725.2
930522.0
186030.0
Blue43
640413.7
926116.2
908512.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93320501508043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.9
31.130.3
Auto8.7
Teleop12.2
End9.1
red by 13.9
9261
#31
16.20.5
14.114.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.8
End7.2
Second
25.20.9
27.126.2
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End5.9
red by 11.6
6404
#26
13.70.5
11.712.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.6
End4.7
Third
22.00.9
21.020.1
Auto4.5
Teleop10.8
End6.7
red by 9.5
9085
#28
12.50.5
12.212.7
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
67%Activation oddsEarned8%Activation oddsMissed