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Red21
91627.7
919614.2
917518.4
Blue74
916515.9
908512.5
580024.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525010203040607080902174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9175
#25
18.43.0
14.611.6
Auto6.4
Teleop7.9
End4.1
blue by 6.2
5800
#13
24.62.3
18.220.5
Auto8.6
Teleop8.9
End7.1
Second
9196
#41
14.23.0
14.111.1
Auto1.8
Teleop6.7
End5.7
blue by 1.6
9165
#19
15.92.3
15.918.2
Auto0.3
Teleop11.1
End4.5
Third
9162
#34
7.73.0
19.416.4
Auto3.9
Teleop-0.3
End4.0
blue by 4.8
9085
#28
12.52.3
14.116.4
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
35%Activation oddsMissed27%Activation oddsMissed