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Red97
908512.5
756738.0
186030.0
Blue103
756330.8
115636.0
916818.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8393406010012014097103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.00.5
37.538.0
Auto9.4
Teleop23.9
End4.7
red by 2.0
36.00.3
36.236.6
Auto11.8
Teleop15.9
End8.3
Second
30.00.5
29.530.0
Auto8.7
Teleop12.2
End9.1
blue by 0.8
30.80.3
31.031.4
Auto10.2
Teleop14.3
End6.2
Third
9085
#28
12.50.5
12.012.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.4
End1.3
blue by 6.1
9168
#20
18.60.3
18.819.1
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End5.9