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Red112
916818.6
115636.0
756330.8
Blue53
177222.0
806613.1
916924.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10254020408012014016011253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.00.3
37.337.7
Auto11.8
Teleop15.9
End8.3
red by 11.9
9169
#15
24.10.2
23.423.2
Auto8.7
Teleop9.7
End5.7
Second
30.80.3
32.132.5
Auto10.2
Teleop14.3
End6.2
red by 8.8
1772
#22
22.00.2
21.321.0
Auto6.3
Teleop8.9
End6.8
Third
9168
#20
18.60.3
19.920.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.2
End5.9
red by 5.5
8066
#40
13.10.2
12.412.1
Auto0.7
Teleop6.7
End5.7