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Red63
904611.3
916430.8
904725.2
Blue63
580024.6
919923.2
888212.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions795920401001201406363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.80.2
32.131.9
Auto8.2
Teleop14.9
End7.7
red by 6.2
5800
#13
24.60.1
23.924.0
Auto8.6
Teleop8.9
End7.1
Second
25.20.2
26.526.3
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End5.9
red by 2.0
9199
#10
23.20.1
22.522.6
Auto6.2
Teleop9.5
End7.4
Third
9046
#37
11.30.2
12.612.3
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End6.0
blue by 0.8
8882
#42
12.00.1
11.311.5
Auto4.0
Teleop2.6
End5.5