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Red110
854624.8
204671.1
94915.9
Blue108
824821.4
94835.1
408929.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1119720406080120140160180110108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.10.2
70.070.2
Auto16.1
Teleop46.0
End5.2
red by 36.0
948
#20
35.10.6
38.639.2
Auto9.8
Teleop20.4
End5.4
Second
8546
#21
24.80.2
20.220.4
Auto5.6
Teleop12.5
End6.8
blue by 4.4
4089
#12
29.20.6
24.525.1
Auto8.9
Teleop12.3
End8.5
Third
949
#25
15.90.2
16.716.9
Auto7.0
Teleop2.5
End6.8
blue by 5.5
8248
#28
21.40.6
25.926.5
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
78%Sustainability oddsEarned17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsMissed37%Activation oddsEarned