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Red106
131851.8
903620.5
999625.1
Blue164
212239.0
241256.2
644345.1
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87151050200250300106164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#16
51.81.1
55.156.2
Auto13.7
Teleop30.3
End5.9
blue by 4.4
56.21.9
54.156.0
Auto13.0
Teleop32.8
End9.8
Second
9996
#23
25.11.9
12.914.8
Auto10.0
Teleop10.0
End5.5
blue by 20.0
45.11.9
37.639.5
Auto12.8
Teleop24.1
End8.1
Third
9036
#29
20.51.1
20.922.1
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End4.5
blue by 18.5
2122
#10
39.01.9
41.042.8
Auto8.3
Teleop20.6
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed63%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsEarned