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Red112
491137.6
468242.7
94835.1
Blue81
418021.7
408929.2
131851.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15110005020025011281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.71.2
43.742.5
Auto15.9
Teleop20.1
End6.8
blue by 9.1
1318
#16
51.81.1
56.255.2
Auto13.7
Teleop30.3
End5.9
Second
37.61.2
44.843.6
Auto7.7
Teleop21.4
End8.7
red by 8.4
4089
#12
29.21.1
22.621.6
Auto8.9
Teleop12.3
End8.5
Third
948
#20
35.11.2
41.840.6
Auto9.8
Teleop20.4
End5.4
red by 13.4
4180
#27
21.71.1
18.016.9
Auto8.9
Teleop8.0
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
61%Sustainability oddsEarned14%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsMissed72%Activation oddsMissed