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Red77
299026.8
903620.5
644345.1
Blue97
255737.6
999717.9
824821.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110630501502007797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.11.0
41.540.6
Auto12.8
Teleop24.1
End8.1
red by 7.6
2557
#19
37.61.3
31.632.9
Auto10.1
Teleop20.1
End7.3
Second
2990
#13
26.81.0
26.625.6
Auto6.5
Teleop11.4
End8.7
red by 5.5
8248
#28
21.41.3
24.625.9
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End4.7
Third
9036
#29
20.51.0
23.622.6
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End4.5
red by 2.5
9997
#14
17.92.1
10.612.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
24%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
62%Activation oddsEarned28%Activation oddsEarned