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Qual 522023 Bordie Charged
Red122
292832.3
292618.3
321850.8
Blue90
593729.5
903620.5
418021.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1067205015020025012290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3218
#11
50.81.9
49.7→51.7
Auto14.6
Teleop26.0
End9.4
red by 21.2
5937
#22
29.50.4
25.4→25.8
Auto10.3
Teleop14.7
End4.5
Second
2928
#18
32.31.9
27.1→29.0
Auto14.5
Teleop11.6
End6.4
red by 10.6
4180
#27
21.70.4
20.2→20.6
Auto8.9
Teleop8.0
End5.2
Third
2926
#32
18.31.9
16.1→18.0
Auto2.4
Teleop10.4
End5.7
blue by 2.2
9036
#29
20.50.4
22.9→23.3
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
17%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
54%Activation oddsEarned29%Activation oddsMissed