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Red188
999717.9
291074.4
241256.2
Blue76
854624.8
998817.5
408929.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15157010020025018876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.40.6
73.974.5
Auto13.6
Teleop49.2
End7.3
red by 45.2
4089
#12
29.21.0
25.126.1
Auto8.9
Teleop12.3
End8.5
Second
56.20.6
52.352.9
Auto13.0
Teleop32.8
End9.8
red by 31.4
8546
#21
24.81.0
20.421.4
Auto5.6
Teleop12.5
End6.8
Third
9997
#14
17.90.8
15.216.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End4.6
red by 0.4
9988
#31
17.51.2
15.516.7
Auto8.1
Teleop4.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
93%Sustainability oddsEarned3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
81%Activation oddsEarned44%Activation oddsEarned