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Red103
189927.6
999625.1
49242.2
Blue75
94915.9
468242.7
418021.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1028205015020025010375

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#9
42.20.4
40.841.2
Auto9.3
Teleop25.5
End6.8
blue by 0.5
42.70.0
41.341.2
Auto15.9
Teleop20.1
End6.8
Second
1899
#30
27.60.4
28.629.0
Auto9.6
Teleop12.4
End5.4
red by 5.9
4180
#27
21.70.0
20.620.6
Auto8.9
Teleop8.0
End5.2
Third
9996
#23
25.10.5
22.923.3
Auto10.0
Teleop10.0
End5.5
red by 9.3
949
#25
15.90.0
13.813.7
Auto7.0
Teleop2.5
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed11%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned52%Activation oddsEarned