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Red121
746139.3
854624.8
177847.2
Blue59
824821.4
299026.8
491137.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1219505015020025012159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.20.9
45.646.5
Auto12.4
Teleop26.0
End9.4
red by 9.6
37.62.0
38.236.2
Auto7.7
Teleop21.4
End8.7
Second
7461
#24
39.30.9
40.241.1
Auto9.5
Teleop21.8
End6.7
red by 12.5
2990
#13
26.82.0
25.323.2
Auto6.5
Teleop11.4
End8.7
Third
8546
#21
24.80.9
21.422.3
Auto5.6
Teleop12.5
End6.8
red by 3.5
8248
#28
21.42.0
26.024.0
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
61%Sustainability oddsEarned37%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned75%Activation oddsMissed