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Red61
999212.5
824821.4
746139.3
Blue110
998817.5
292832.3
999717.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9960015020061110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7461
#24
39.32.6
41.138.5
Auto9.5
Teleop21.8
End6.7
red by 7.0
2928
#18
32.30.7
28.228.9
Auto14.5
Teleop11.6
End6.4
Second
8248
#28
21.42.6
24.021.4
Auto5.3
Teleop11.5
End4.7
red by 3.5
9997
#14
17.90.8
15.816.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End4.6
Third
9992
#26
12.52.9
15.412.5
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End4.1
blue by 5.0
9988
#31
17.50.8
16.717.5
Auto8.1
Teleop4.1
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
39%Sustainability oddsMissed1%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
30%Activation oddsMissed42%Activation oddsEarned