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Qual 72023 Bordie Charged
Red64
241256.2
255737.6
593729.5
Blue168
177847.2
491137.6
204671.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11216405015020025064168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2412
#3
56.23.1
52.0→48.9
Auto13.0
Teleop32.8
End9.8
blue by 14.9
2046
#2
71.10.8
65.1→65.9
Auto16.1
Teleop46.0
End5.2
Second
2557
#19
37.63.1
29.0→25.9
Auto10.1
Teleop20.1
End7.3
blue by 9.7
1778
#5
47.20.8
46.9→47.7
Auto12.4
Teleop26.0
End9.4
Third
5937
#22
29.53.1
29.3→26.2
Auto10.3
Teleop14.7
End4.5
blue by 8.0
4911
#8
37.60.8
45.2→46.0
Auto7.7
Teleop21.4
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
57%Sustainability oddsMissed96%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned