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Red107
119720.4
207346.5
39925.3
Blue99
237521.6
641734.0
366941.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76758085909510510799

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.52.1
28.730.8
Auto14.8
Teleop24.3
End7.4
red by 5.1
3669
#11
41.43.2
19.122.3
Auto13.1
Teleop20.7
End7.7
Second
399
#26
25.32.7
24.226.9
Auto8.0
Teleop13.1
End4.1
blue by 8.7
6417
#17
34.02.5
29.532.0
Auto13.1
Teleop14.7
End6.2
Third
1197
#20
20.42.5
18.320.8
Auto5.5
Teleop8.1
End6.7
blue by 1.1
2375
#25
21.62.1
22.124.2
Auto8.8
Teleop7.1
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed12%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsEarned