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Qual 142023 Aerospace Valley Regional
Red124
630522.2
441555.8
351251.2
Blue145
908444.4
606019.4
347655.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122121100110130140150160124145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4415
#6
55.80.3
48.9→49.3
Auto17.3
Teleop30.0
End8.3
Level
3476
#3
55.81.7
52.3→54.0
Auto15.2
Teleop32.6
End7.9
Second
3512
#10
51.20.4
43.6→44.0
Auto11.3
Teleop31.3
End8.6
red by 6.8
9084
#4
44.42.1
41.1→43.2
Auto12.9
Teleop23.7
End7.8
Third
6305
#16
22.20.3
21.4→21.7
Auto6.4
Teleop10.1
End5.6
red by 2.8
6060
#27
19.41.9
21.1→23.0
Auto8.4
Teleop6.1
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsEarned25%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsMissed87%Activation oddsEarned