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Red82
401423.3
119720.4
469839.9
Blue107
704227.6
876838.8
366941.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76955015082107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.90.6
33.834.5
Auto9.2
Teleop23.3
End7.4
blue by 1.5
3669
#11
41.41.7
28.330.0
Auto13.1
Teleop20.7
End7.7
Second
4014
#13
23.30.6
18.018.5
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End7.0
blue by 15.4
8768
#14
38.81.0
34.935.9
Auto10.4
Teleop20.9
End7.5
Third
1197
#20
20.40.6
21.922.5
Auto5.5
Teleop8.1
End6.7
blue by 7.2
7042
#28
27.61.0
23.824.8
Auto11.8
Teleop8.8
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed28%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned60%Activation oddsMissed