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Red128
265949.8
98024.0
715764.2
Blue108
366941.4
240415.7
69120.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139590100150200128108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.20.5
51.051.5
Auto12.7
Teleop42.9
End8.4
red by 22.8
3669
#11
41.44.2
30.034.2
Auto13.1
Teleop20.7
End7.7
Second
49.80.5
50.751.2
Auto13.0
Teleop30.1
End6.5
red by 29.3
691
#35
20.52.5
16.318.9
Auto2.4
Teleop12.0
End6.2
Third
980
#18
24.00.5
18.819.3
Auto4.5
Teleop13.7
End6.0
red by 8.4
2404
#23
15.74.2
18.823.0
Auto5.0
Teleop7.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
76%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned33%Activation oddsEarned