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Red116
347655.8
375921.0
512430.9
Blue127
908444.4
641734.0
876838.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10112250150200116127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.81.2
54.555.8
Auto15.2
Teleop32.6
End7.9
red by 11.4
44.41.0
44.045.0
Auto12.9
Teleop23.7
End7.8
Second
5124
#21
30.91.2
23.724.9
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End5.8
blue by 7.9
8768
#14
38.81.0
36.537.5
Auto10.4
Teleop20.9
End7.5
Third
3759
#29
21.01.2
19.320.5
Auto3.9
Teleop10.1
End7.0
blue by 13.0
6417
#17
34.01.0
31.732.7
Auto13.1
Teleop14.7
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
20%Sustainability oddsEarned58%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
48%Activation oddsEarned77%Activation oddsMissed