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Red150
351251.2
441938.1
441465.4
Blue107
441555.8
501215.3
512430.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15678050100200150107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.40.9
60.161.0
Auto13.0
Teleop43.7
End8.5
red by 9.6
55.80.9
44.345.3
Auto17.3
Teleop30.0
End8.3
Second
3512
#10
51.21.2
42.443.6
Auto11.3
Teleop31.3
End8.6
red by 20.3
5124
#21
30.91.1
21.122.3
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End5.8
Third
4419
#19
38.11.2
34.035.2
Auto11.5
Teleop17.7
End8.9
red by 22.8
5012
#30
15.31.1
17.418.6
Auto5.3
Teleop5.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
71%Sustainability oddsEarned6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
95%Activation oddsEarned73%Activation oddsEarned