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Red106
501215.3
366941.4
606019.4
Blue53
704227.6
760713.0
806011.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions895102040608010012014016010653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3669
#11
41.40.3
37.136.8
Auto13.1
Teleop20.7
End7.7
red by 13.8
7042
#28
27.61.0
24.223.3
Auto11.8
Teleop8.8
End7.0
Second
6060
#27
19.40.2
23.723.5
Auto8.4
Teleop6.1
End4.9
red by 6.4
7607
#32
13.01.0
14.213.2
Auto3.5
Teleop5.6
End3.9
Third
5012
#30
15.30.2
18.117.9
Auto5.3
Teleop5.5
End4.5
red by 4.3
8060
#34
11.01.7
14.512.8
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
16%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsMissed16%Activation oddsMissed