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Red52
374932.3
469839.9
606019.4
Blue45
501215.3
407920.2
265949.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90102204060801201401605245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.92.3
37.635.4
Auto9.2
Teleop23.3
End7.4
blue by 9.9
49.83.6
49.946.3
Auto13.0
Teleop30.1
End6.5
Second
3749
#15
32.32.3
25.122.8
Auto7.7
Teleop18.1
End6.4
red by 12.0
4079
#33
20.23.6
26.122.5
Auto6.2
Teleop7.2
End6.9
Third
6060
#27
19.42.3
23.521.2
Auto8.4
Teleop6.1
End4.9
red by 4.1
5012
#30
15.33.6
17.914.3
Auto5.3
Teleop5.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsMissed38%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
54%Activation oddsMissed67%Activation oddsMissed