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Red135
401423.3
441465.4
69120.5
Blue106
240415.7
407920.2
207346.5
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11582204060100140160135106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.40.9
62.963.8
Auto13.0
Teleop43.7
End8.5
red by 18.9
46.50.8
39.340.2
Auto14.8
Teleop24.3
End7.4
Second
4014
#13
23.30.9
20.721.6
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End7.0
red by 3.1
4079
#33
20.20.8
22.723.5
Auto6.2
Teleop7.2
End6.9
Third
691
#35
20.50.9
20.521.5
Auto2.4
Teleop12.0
End6.2
red by 4.9
2404
#23
15.71.2
19.520.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
80%Sustainability oddsEarned15%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
87%Activation oddsEarned45%Activation oddsEarned