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Red86
407920.2
366941.4
119720.4
Blue66
512430.9
760713.0
401423.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100630501508666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3669
#11
41.42.2
44.442.2
Auto13.1
Teleop20.7
End7.7
red by 10.5
5124
#21
30.90.2
27.627.5
Auto10.5
Teleop14.6
End5.8
Second
1197
#20
20.41.7
21.019.3
Auto5.5
Teleop8.1
End6.7
blue by 2.9
4014
#13
23.30.2
21.621.4
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End7.0
Third
4079
#33
20.21.7
23.521.8
Auto6.2
Teleop7.2
End6.9
red by 7.3
7607
#32
13.00.2
14.414.3
Auto3.5
Teleop5.6
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
15%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned32%Activation oddsEarned