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Red86
98024.0
366941.4
607216.4
Blue127
441555.8
374932.3
375921.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821135010015020086127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3669
#11
41.40.0
40.140.2
Auto13.1
Teleop20.7
End7.7
blue by 14.4
55.81.6
53.254.8
Auto17.3
Teleop30.0
End8.3
Second
980
#18
24.00.0
24.024.1
Auto4.5
Teleop13.7
End6.0
blue by 8.2
3749
#15
32.31.6
29.931.5
Auto7.7
Teleop18.1
End6.4
Third
6072
#36
16.40.0
16.416.4
Auto6.8
Teleop3.4
End6.2
blue by 4.6
3759
#29
21.01.6
19.321.0
Auto3.9
Teleop10.1
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
27%Sustainability oddsMissed20%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned59%Activation oddsEarned