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Red153
366941.4
207346.5
441555.8
Blue47
39925.3
665723.3
441938.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10787608010012014016015347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.83.6
45.348.9
Auto17.3
Teleop30.0
End8.3
red by 17.8
4419
#19
38.13.1
35.232.2
Auto11.5
Teleop17.7
End8.9
Second
46.53.6
30.834.4
Auto14.8
Teleop24.3
End7.4
red by 21.2
399
#26
25.33.1
26.923.9
Auto8.0
Teleop13.1
End4.1
Third
3669
#11
41.46.1
22.328.3
Auto13.1
Teleop20.7
End7.7
red by 18.1
6657
#22
23.32.5
22.319.8
Auto6.5
Teleop10.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsEarned9%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsMissed