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Red160
665723.3
441555.8
207346.5
Blue152
876838.8
366941.4
641734.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331166080100140160180200160152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.80.8
54.855.6
Auto17.3
Teleop30.0
End8.3
red by 14.4
3669
#11
41.40.8
40.241.0
Auto13.1
Teleop20.7
End7.7
Second
46.50.8
45.546.3
Auto14.8
Teleop24.3
End7.4
red by 7.7
8768
#14
38.80.8
37.538.3
Auto10.4
Teleop20.9
End7.5
Third
6657
#22
23.30.8
22.323.1
Auto6.5
Teleop10.5
End6.4
blue by 10.7
6417
#17
34.00.8
33.334.1
Auto13.1
Teleop14.7
End6.2