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Red172
704227.6
715764.2
441465.4
Blue118
351251.2
265949.8
119720.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16912350100150200172118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
65.40.4
64.064.4
Auto13.0
Teleop43.7
End8.5
red by 14.2
3512
#10
51.20.2
51.251.0
Auto11.3
Teleop31.3
End8.6
Second
64.20.4
62.863.2
Auto12.7
Teleop42.9
End8.4
red by 14.4
49.80.2
49.849.6
Auto13.0
Teleop30.1
End6.5
Third
7042
#28
27.60.4
26.126.6
Auto11.8
Teleop8.8
End7.0
red by 7.2
1197
#20
20.40.2
20.420.2
Auto5.5
Teleop8.1
End6.7