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Final 32023 Battle at the Border
Red165
927122.9
519969.4
153866.6
Blue167
441955.9
473861.2
997018.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13298050150200165167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#2
69.40.2
68.7→68.9
Auto8.9
Teleop61.7
End-1.8
red by 8.2
4738
#10
61.20.7
59.9→60.6
Auto11.7
Teleop50.7
End-1.8
Second
1538
#3
66.60.2
66.0→66.1
Auto11.5
Teleop56.4
End-1.6
red by 10.8
4419
#1
55.90.7
54.6→55.2
Auto10.6
Teleop43.8
End1.7
Third
9271
#20
22.90.2
22.2→22.4
Auto5.7
Teleop15.1
End2.3
red by 4.0
9970
#30
18.90.7
17.4→18.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.9
End-1.1