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Red99
519969.4
997818.1
997330.1
Blue12
997415.1
997723.1
513726.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85310501001502009912

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.40.2
60.660.8
Auto8.9
Teleop61.7
End-1.8
red by 43.3
26.13.1
24.121.0
Auto6.6
Teleop18.7
End0.9
Second
9973
#15
30.10.4
17.517.9
Auto4.2
Teleop27.6
End-1.4
red by 7.1
9977
#22
23.15.2
17.512.2
Auto4.4
Teleop20.1
End-1.2
Third
9978
#13
18.10.4
17.517.9
Auto6.2
Teleop12.9
End-0.6
red by 3.0
9974
#27
15.15.2
17.512.2
Auto3.3
Teleop12.8
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
10%Sustainability oddsMissed2%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
71%Activation oddsEarned39%Activation oddsMissed