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Red62
416021.3
997330.1
364749.8
Blue153
374933.9
699543.5
153866.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7313605010015020025062153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.82.5
48.746.1
Auto12.7
Teleop37.2
End-1.3
blue by 16.9
66.60.8
62.162.9
Auto11.5
Teleop56.4
End-1.6
Second
9973
#15
30.14.2
20.816.6
Auto4.2
Teleop27.6
End-1.4
blue by 13.3
6995
#14
43.50.8
44.245.0
Auto9.8
Teleop31.5
End1.5
Third
4160
#33Sur
21.32.5
30.728.1
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End2.4
blue by 12.6
3749
#19Sur
33.90.8
30.331.2
Auto7.1
Teleop25.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
19%Sustainability oddsMissed52%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
55%Activation oddsMissed54%Activation oddsEarned