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Qual 282023 Battle at the Border
Red63
699543.5
473861.2
997415.1
Blue103
997515.7
162236.7
126634.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10855015020063103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#10
61.23.7
59.8→56.1
Auto11.7
Teleop50.7
End-1.8
red by 24.5
1622
#8
36.70.9
38.7→39.5
Auto7.6
Teleop28.5
End0.2
Second
6995
#14
43.53.7
45.7→42.0
Auto9.8
Teleop31.5
End1.5
red by 9.5
1266
#11
34.00.9
27.8→28.7
Auto5.4
Teleop26.5
End2.2
Third
9974
#27
15.16.2
13.1→6.9
Auto3.3
Teleop12.8
End-0.6
blue by 0.6
9975
#29
15.71.5
13.3→14.8
Auto3.3
Teleop13.2
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
21%Sustainability oddsMissed17%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
26%Activation oddsMissed45%Activation oddsEarned