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Qual 302023 Battle at the Border
Red108
688510.7
374933.9
325551.7
Blue89
997723.1
248537.4
997121.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9942015020025010889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#5
51.71.0
54.0→55.0
Auto10.4
Teleop38.9
End2.4
red by 14.3
2485
#25
37.40.9
40.7→41.6
Auto9.7
Teleop25.2
End2.5
Second
3749
#19
33.91.0
29.9→30.9
Auto7.1
Teleop25.1
End1.5
red by 10.9
9977
#22
23.11.5
15.2→16.7
Auto4.4
Teleop20.1
End-1.2
Third
6885
#28
10.71.0
9.5→10.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End-1.6
blue by 10.8
9971
#26
21.51.5
19.4→21.0
Auto3.7
Teleop19.4
End-1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
30%Sustainability oddsMissed6%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned68%Activation oddsMissed