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Red74
162236.7
927122.9
997121.5
Blue129
513726.1
364749.8
997515.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5767010015020025030074129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.70.4
37.737.3
Auto7.6
Teleop28.5
End0.2
blue by 13.0
49.82.0
47.749.7
Auto12.7
Teleop37.2
End-1.3
Second
9271
#20
22.90.4
21.521.1
Auto5.7
Teleop15.1
End2.3
blue by 3.2
26.12.0
23.825.8
Auto6.6
Teleop18.7
End0.9
Third
9971
#26
21.50.7
21.020.3
Auto3.7
Teleop19.4
End-1.3
red by 5.8
9975
#29
15.73.3
17.821.1
Auto3.3
Teleop13.2
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed7%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
47%Activation oddsMissed33%Activation oddsEarned