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Red53
416021.3
374933.9
99729.9
Blue61
927122.9
265812.4
157227.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625202040801001201405361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3749
#19
33.91.4
33.131.7
Auto7.1
Teleop25.1
End1.5
red by 6.3
1572
#18
27.61.1
28.827.7
Auto5.8
Teleop20.1
End1.7
Second
4160
#33
21.31.4
28.427.1
Auto5.0
Teleop14.1
End2.4
blue by 1.6
9271
#20
22.91.1
21.120.0
Auto5.7
Teleop15.1
End2.3
Third
9972
#31
9.92.1
12.09.9
Auto1.6
Teleop9.6
End-1.1
blue by 2.5
2658
#32
12.41.1
12.811.6
Auto2.4
Teleop8.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
12%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
42%Activation oddsMissed38%Activation oddsMissed