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Qual 452023 Battle at the Border
Red120
283940.4
312835.4
945220.1
Blue115
153866.6
656051.5
997515.7
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78113050100150200250120115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2839
#12
40.41.8
40.8→42.6
Auto8.7
Teleop28.9
End2.6
blue by 26.2
1538
#3
66.61.6
66.6→65.1
Auto11.5
Teleop56.4
End-1.6
Second
3128
#24
35.41.8
32.7→34.5
Auto7.5
Teleop26.4
End1.7
blue by 16.0
6560
#7
51.51.6
52.2→50.6
Auto11.7
Teleop38.6
End1.0
Third
9452
#16
20.12.8
19.3→22.1
Auto3.1
Teleop18.5
End-1.3
red by 4.4
9975
#29
15.72.5
21.1→18.6
Auto3.3
Teleop13.2
End-0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed38%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
55%Activation oddsEarned70%Activation oddsMissed