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Red71
997018.9
364749.8
325551.7
Blue120
945220.1
473861.2
248537.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9510805015020025030035040071120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.73.7
52.248.5
Auto10.4
Teleop38.9
End2.4
blue by 9.6
4738
#10
61.20.8
56.557.3
Auto11.7
Teleop50.7
End-1.8
Second
49.83.7
52.348.7
Auto12.7
Teleop37.2
End-1.3
red by 12.4
2485
#25
37.40.8
39.940.7
Auto9.7
Teleop25.2
End2.5
Third
9970
#30
18.96.1
16.510.4
Auto4.3
Teleop15.9
End-1.1
blue by 1.2
9452
#16
20.11.3
12.113.4
Auto3.1
Teleop18.5
End-1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
53%Sustainability oddsMissed39%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsMissed54%Activation oddsMissed