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Red118
888829.1
441559.8
210233.9
Blue128
35972.2
622021.6
450129.9
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99108050150200118128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4415
#16
59.80.0
53.253.2
Auto13.2
Teleop45.3
End0.6
blue by 12.4
359
#6
72.20.1
68.768.7
Auto12.5
Teleop59.8
End-1.5
Second
2102
#23
33.90.0
32.332.3
Auto6.6
Teleop28.8
End-1.4
red by 4.0
4501
#40
29.90.1
31.731.6
Auto8.0
Teleop18.4
End3.6
Third
8888
#36
29.10.0
32.532.5
Auto7.2
Teleop18.0
End4.0
red by 7.5
6220
#31
21.60.1
23.623.5
Auto3.4
Teleop17.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
44%Sustainability oddsMissed58%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
87%Activation oddsMissed83%Activation oddsEarned