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Red136
656050.6
414128.0
210233.9
Blue152
271042.9
607220.8
347671.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8295204060120140136152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6560
#26
50.62.0
49.851.8
Auto10.1
Teleop41.0
End-1.2
blue by 20.9
3476
#10
71.51.6
68.570.1
Auto12.5
Teleop58.2
End-1.3
Second
2102
#23
33.92.0
30.932.9
Auto6.6
Teleop28.8
End-1.4
blue by 9.0
2710
#14
42.91.6
37.739.3
Auto5.8
Teleop37.6
End-0.4
Third
4141
#41
28.02.0
24.826.8
Auto6.0
Teleop19.8
End2.3
red by 7.2
6072
#33
20.81.6
17.318.9
Auto5.0
Teleop16.5
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
28%Sustainability oddsEarned64%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned64%Activation oddsMissed