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Red121
212250.3
519972.2
927121.0
Blue146
96838.1
265819.4
940861.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12478050100150200250121146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.21.5
74.773.3
Auto10.1
Teleop62.6
End-1.7
red by 11.0
61.31.6
58.359.9
Auto8.4
Teleop54.0
End-1.9
Second
2122
#15
50.31.5
46.444.9
Auto7.8
Teleop38.2
End3.8
red by 12.2
968
#34
38.11.6
35.837.4
Auto4.7
Teleop33.5
End0.2
Third
9271
#38
21.01.5
21.720.2
Auto2.4
Teleop18.8
End0.3
red by 1.5
2658
#30
19.41.6
17.318.9
Auto2.4
Teleop17.4
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsEarned33%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsMissed64%Activation oddsEarned