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Red136
325554.3
450129.9
98756.5
Blue146
427641.7
69655.8
432242.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13497050150200250136146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
#17
56.50.6
58.958.4
Auto12.8
Teleop40.8
End1.9
red by 0.7
696
#7
55.80.8
51.852.6
Auto9.2
Teleop50.0
End-3.3
Second
3255
#11
54.30.6
54.954.3
Auto10.3
Teleop44.0
End-0.3
red by 11.9
4322
#21
42.40.8
41.542.3
Auto7.3
Teleop34.9
End0.1
Third
4501
#40
29.90.6
30.529.9
Auto8.0
Teleop18.4
End3.6
blue by 11.8
4276
#25
41.70.8
40.641.4
Auto7.8
Teleop34.6
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
81%Sustainability oddsEarned55%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsMissed64%Activation oddsEarned