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Red99
888829.1
427641.7
607220.8
Blue148
519972.2
283943.4
39938.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6114305010020099148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4276
#25
41.71.3
33.634.9
Auto7.8
Teleop34.6
End-0.3
blue by 30.5
72.20.1
72.772.8
Auto10.1
Teleop62.6
End-1.7
Second
8888
#36
29.11.3
32.233.5
Auto7.2
Teleop18.0
End4.0
blue by 14.3
43.40.1
40.440.4
Auto8.3
Teleop34.3
End0.9
Third
6072
#33
20.81.3
13.414.7
Auto5.0
Teleop16.5
End-0.2
blue by 17.8
399
#27
38.60.1
33.333.3
Auto10.4
Teleop26.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed52%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned89%Activation oddsEarned