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Red205
594067.6
167884.3
213528.6
Blue165
425559.4
5940B35.6
84654.2
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14710750200250205165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
84.30.7
83.684.3
Auto13.2
Teleop68.5
End-1.1
red by 24.9
59.40.4
59.059.4
Auto12.0
Teleop45.6
End-0.5
Second
67.60.7
66.967.6
Auto12.4
Teleop53.9
End-1.3
red by 13.4
846
#4
54.20.4
53.854.2
Auto9.8
Teleop46.1
End-2.3
Third
2135
#15
28.60.7
27.928.6
Auto6.8
Teleop19.5
End2.9
blue by 7.0
35.60.5
35.135.6
Auto7.9
Teleop27.9
End-1.1