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Red79
691819.4
5924B25.8
84124.9
Blue127
876829.2
25311.9
84654.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5286020406010012014016079127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.81.8
18.420.2
Auto2.1
Teleop24.8
End-0.4
blue by 28.4
846
#4
54.21.1
52.053.1
Auto9.8
Teleop46.1
End-2.3
Second
841
#26
24.91.1
21.923.0
Auto1.9
Teleop24.1
End-0.8
blue by 4.3
8768
#44Sur
29.21.1
35.636.6
Auto5.6
Teleop21.0
End2.7
Third
6918
#25Sur
19.41.1
22.723.7
Auto3.3
Teleop14.1
End2.5
red by 7.5
253
#32
11.91.1
13.314.4
Auto2.6
Teleop10.9
End-1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
18%Sustainability oddsMissed50%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
52%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsEarned