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Qual 222023 Capital City Classic
Red68
255144.9
145817.6
348220.1
Blue45
464313.9
70118.2
415928.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91490204060801001201401606845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2551
#19
44.91.3
45.5→44.2
Auto8.1
Teleop34.4
End2.0
red by 16.3
4159
#27
28.61.0
28.0→27.0
Auto5.0
Teleop22.5
End1.3
Second
3482
#11
20.11.3
18.1→16.8
Auto2.0
Teleop18.1
End0.1
red by 1.9
701
#43
18.21.0
17.0→16.1
Auto3.2
Teleop14.3
End0.6
Third
1458
#20
17.61.3
24.1→22.8
Auto1.3
Teleop14.8
End1.9
red by 3.6
4643
#35
13.91.0
14.8→13.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop14.5
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
38%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
53%Activation oddsEarned37%Activation oddsMissed