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Red59
876829.2
325726.3
741923.1
Blue96
213528.6
415928.6
425559.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94984060801205996

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8768
#44
29.22.9
36.633.8
Auto5.6
Teleop21.0
End2.7
blue by 30.2
59.41.4
58.757.3
Auto12.0
Teleop45.6
End-0.5
Second
3257
#39
26.32.9
33.630.8
Auto4.5
Teleop20.7
End1.1
blue by 2.4
2135
#15
28.61.4
25.724.3
Auto6.8
Teleop19.5
End2.9
Third
7419
#24
23.12.9
26.523.7
Auto5.3
Teleop16.9
End1.0
blue by 5.5
4159
#27
28.61.4
27.025.6
Auto5.0
Teleop22.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
31%Sustainability oddsMissed13%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
49%Activation oddsMissed67%Activation oddsMissed